Showing posts with label GDP. Show all posts
Showing posts with label GDP. Show all posts

Monday, October 5, 2020

RE: Sustainability - Proposed Policies for Correcting the Human Predicament

 https://theconversation.com/limits-to-growth-policies-to-steer-the-economy-away-from-disaster-57721

The essay at the link above covers the following subjects:
1.  measuring progress,
2.  resource caps,
3.  work and time,
4.  public spending,
5.  banking and finance (and the built-in "growth imperative"),
6.  the population question,
7.  poverty (a rising tide will SINK all boats),
8.  hindrances.
Though the discussion is somewhat brief on each item above, many links to related pages are embedded in the article.

The piece is thought-provoking and, in my view, should be considered by all who are interested in mitigating the current human predicament.
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Not only my opinion.  Be Well
p.s.  Diagram is from the Millennium Alliance for Humanity and the Biosphere (MAHB) at Stanford University.  https://mahb.stanford.edu/

Saturday, September 26, 2020

The Real Scoop on Interest Rates and Nominal GDP "Growth"

 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921800916307510

The research at the above link is somewhat of a blockbuster.  With an empirical approach, it shows that "...conventional monetary policy as operated by central banks for the past half-century is fundamentally flawed".  Among other things, the research demonstrates that low interest rates do not cause economic growth, and "if policy-makers really aimed at setting rates consistent with a recovery, they would need to raise them".

This study has been available for over two years, but apparently, largely ignored.  It also delves into the effects of "quantities" (e.g., QE) on an economy, and further, why environmentally sustainable projects are better for the economy as opposed to growth for growth's sake.  In short, the study provides solidly based evidence that neoliberal economics has failed overall.  Of course, that same economic path has benefitted the Upper Crust immeasurably... which is probably why this study has been mostly ignored by the Powers-That-Be, both public and private.
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Not only my opinion.  Stay Well

Saturday, September 12, 2020

The "Green Economy" CANNOT Sustain Unlimited Economic Growth

Even for a moment, I shudder to think of the indoctrination going on in the world today relative to how the theoretical Green Economy (GEcon) will facilitate the continuation of perpetual economic GROWTH.  Is the GEcon a good thing for us?  Yes, it is.  Is continuing unlimited growth a good thing for us?  Absolutely not.  We can have one or the other, but not both.  Here's why.
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The journal article at the link below tackles the nexus of the GEcon and perpetual growth, and it does so with both qualitative and quantitative empirical evidence.  It not only analyzes all the factors involved, but applies synthesis to them as well.  Those factors include:  Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Domestic Material Consumption (DMC), decoupling, re-coupling, material & energy throughput, green growth, theoretical Tech innovation, global material footprint, unlimited economic growth, bioenergy with carbon capture & storage (BECCS), the IPAT equation, Eco-Crisis, ecology, natural resources, political ecology, and more.

The title and first paragraph of this essay give a partial hint, but I won't reveal the full conclusion of the linked article here because it's important (and worthwhile) to read the piece.  So, put on your thinking cap, buckle down, study it, and I believe you'll become a convert, so to speak.  This subject might seem boring to the "average" person, but just the fact that you're reading this means you're above average relative to concern over the ongoing Eco-Crisis.  So many solution options to consider - GEcon, Circular Econ, Bioecon, Steady State Econ, Ecological Econ, and various combinations of those.  If organized human existence is to survive and thrive, we have to get this right.  The article below will help tremendously.

https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/13563467.2019.1598964?src=recsys  ["Is Green Growth Possible", by Jason Hickel and Giorgos Kallis]
It's a "Free Access" journal article.

Given the years-long search for Sustainability (especially in the EU), the above article is crucial to deciding on the best path forward for humanity.
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Not only my opinion.  Be Well

Friday, July 3, 2020

An Alternative to the Obsession With GDP

Preface

Mainstream economics is obsessed with gross domestic product (GDP) growth.  Those who measure GDP growth are convinced that any amount of it is a good sign for the economy, and that's how it's presented to the public.  Furthermore, any economy is considered to be separate from Nature (or worse, Nature is only a small part of the economy); also, sustainability of natural resources is rarely ever considered.  The only resources taken into account during the bulk of economic planning are artificial--- railways, trucks, factories, ships, etc.--- or are humans (labor).  A bit of consideration is given to natural resource availability, but usually not in any holistic way.  To be more concise, mainstream economists value Nature only for what can be extracted from it, and for the amount of wastes that can be dumped back into it.

Note---  these topics are not "flashy", but understanding them is crucial to the continued organized existence of human beings.  The path we're still on is leading to species suicide.  That's not hyperbole.
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The Flaws in Mainstream Economic Thinking

1.  Herman Daly and other Steady-State economists astutely have pointed out the probability of growth beyond an optimal scale that is uneconomic.  In other words, growth in which the costs outweigh the benefits.  Mainstream economists don't agree.  That's because they don't know the overall practical value of Nature to economics and human well-being.  Nor do they appear to understand the true costs of ecosystem damage inflicted by human mainstream economic activity.  To them, ecosystems merely are a tiny part of the economy.  That's especially true now that financialization has become a larger part of economies.  So, I imagine this quip from a mainstreamer:  "We don't need Nature.  To increase GDP, all we have to do is shuffle more papers (so to speak).".

2.  The practical value of natural capital and ecosystem services is often somewhat invisible to, and thus vastly underestimated or ignored by, mainstream economists.  Here's a short introduction to the topic:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wMIUglBligI .
Here's another, with E.O. Wilson:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=duOzXGTuUrA .

3.  Mainstream economists fail to recognize that GDP as a measurement of  economic health (and human well-being) is incomplete in the long run, and thus misleading.

Gross Ecosystem Product (GEP) Approach

From the Natural Capital Project at Stanford U.---
https://naturalcapitalproject.stanford.edu/news/accounting-nature-economies
For those of you who may be at a more advanced level regarding this subject, here's the link to the full study--- (which also is embedded at the link above as "Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences").
https://www.pnas.org/content/117/25/14593 .
This ecological approach, developed by the Natural Capital Project, already is being tested in China.  The EU has something similar:  Mapping and Assessment of Ecosystems and their Services (MAES).
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Conclusion

The philosophy and policies of neoliberalism/mainstream economics have brought us to where we are today:  environmental degradation; little to no concern for the importance of ecosystem services; little concern for industrial waste disposal (especially if it's into the atmosphere); the unsustainable use of natural capital; and a false belief in unlimited growth, overconsumption, GDP as a complete measure of economic health, and corporatism.  If all that isn't bad enough, we're on the brink of the largest, most severe ecodisaster in human history.  Meanwhile, the Super-Rich are laughing all the way to the bank, most politicians are doing a lot of talking and not much else, and the corporatist propagandists are running amok.

A ray of hope---
A shift to ecological economics, as well as the continued development of the GEP approach to economic measurement, and the adoption of ecoethics is the best path forward... and it's all possible.
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Not only my opinion.  Stay Well